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Science

Human moon landing in 2026?

2%
$2.0M Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Science

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

3%
$586.5K Vol.•Ends Dec 31, 2026

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

September 301%
December 314%
$330.7K Vol.•Jan 1, 2027
Science

New COVID variant of concern before 2027?

8%
$245.4K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Science

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

2%
$117.2K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Two SpaceX Starships dock together by…?

December 31, 20263%
December 31, 202747%
$46.2K Vol.•Jan 1, 2028

Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by...?

June 30, 2027?88%
March 31, 202747%
$40.6K Vol.•Jun 30, 2027
Science

SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?

1%
$27.7K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Science

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

3%
$24.4K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Science

New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?

4%
$24.1K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

September 30, 202613%
December 31, 202644%
1 more
$22.2K Vol.•Jan 1, 2028

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

SpaceX46%
OpenAI1%
10 more
$13.9K Vol.•Dec 31, 2026
Science

Elon Bull Run Combo

7%
$12.4K Vol.•Ends Dec 31, 2026
Science

Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?

9%
$11.6K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Science

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

3%
$10.3K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Science

100kt meteor strike in 2026?

3%
$9.0K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

September 3091%
October 3187%
6 more
$8.0K Vol.•Jul 1, 2027
Science

New pandemic before 2028?

17%
$7.6K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2028

AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

September 30, 202614%
December 31, 202647%
1 more
$6.3K Vol.•Jan 1, 2028

Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?

September 30, 20265%
December 31, 202637%
1 more
$5.6K Vol.•Jan 1, 2028

How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

055%
121%
4 more
$5.0K Vol.•Jan 1, 2027

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

175%
223%
4 more
$4.2K Vol.•Dec 31, 2026

How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?

FFewer than 206%
220 to 3454%
2 more
$4.0K Vol.•Mar 31, 2027

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?

December 31, 202620%
September 30, 20262%
4 more
$3.7K Vol.•Jan 1, 2028

Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?

DDecember 31, 20263%
DDecember 31, 202713%
1 more
$3.6K Vol.•Jan 1, 2029

How many SpaceX launches in 2026?

100-1191%
120-1397%
4 more
$3.6K Vol.•Jan 1, 2027

Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer28%
Hodge Conjecture40%
4 more
$3.5K Vol.•Jan 1, 2028

Which math problems will AI solve in 2026?

Riemann Hypothesis10%
P versus NP3%
12 more
$3.3K Vol.•Jan 1, 2027

How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026?

FFewer than 50%
550%
4 more
$3.0K Vol.•Jun 30, 2027

Highest earthquake magnitude in 2026?

77.9 or below75%
88.0 – 8.112%
5 more
$2.5K Vol.•Jan 4, 2027

OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize?

OOpenAI74%
AAnthropic27%
$2.4K Vol.•Jan 1, 2028
Science

Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by...?

11%
$1.9K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Science

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

13%
$1.9K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Precipitation in NYC in September?

<2"2%
2-3"21%
4 more
$1.7K Vol.•Oct 2, 2026
Science

Will summer 2026 be France's hottest summer on record?

100%
$1.7K Vol.•Ends Oct 1, 2026

Precipitation in Seattle in September?

<1"24%
1-1.5"31%
5 more
$1.4K Vol.•Oct 1, 2026

When will the first hurricane form in the Atlantic in 2026?

September 11 to September 15, 20261%
September 16 to September 20, 20261%
3 more
$1.3K Vol.•Oct 1, 2026

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

↑3.5k99%
↑4.5k87%
6 more
$1.2K Vol.•Jan 1, 2027

Measles cases in U.S. by September 30?

3500+97%
3300+99%
5 more
$1.2K Vol.•Oct 1, 2026
Science

SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028?

67%
$1.0K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2028

Elon Musk Net Worth on September 30?

<$600B0%
$600-$700B1%
5 more
$965 Vol.•Sep 30, 2026

How many Chinook will pass Bonneville Dam by October 31?

MMore than 550,00077%
MMore than 575,00046%
1 more
$921 Vol.•Nov 4, 2026
Science

New pandemic in 2026?

6%
$821 Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Science

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

3%
$800 Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Science

Trump Space Academy begins training by June 30, 2027?

11%
$796 Vol.•Ends Jul 1, 2027
Science

Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026?

7%
$660 Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by...

October 3163%
December 3164%
$609 Vol.•-

Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by ___?

December 31, 20266%
December 31, 202719%
1 more
$555 Vol.•Jan 1, 2029