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geopolitics

428 markets

World

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

6%
$1.4M Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by...?

September 301%
December 319%
$1.3M Vol.•Jan 1, 2027
World

US strike on Mexico by...?

8%
$732.1K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
World

Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?

9%
$687.7K Vol.•Ends Dec 31, 2026
World

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

6%
$638.4K Vol.•Ends Dec 31, 2026
World

US military draft authorized in 2026?

3%
$526.1K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
World

Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?

3%
$444.8K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
World

Will any country leave NATO by...?

3%
$400.7K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
World

Will Venezuela become 51st state?

2%
$394.5K Vol.•Ends Dec 31, 2026
World

UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?

6%
$349.4K Vol.•Ends Dec 31, 2026
World

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

7%
$277.0K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
World

KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?

6%
$272.9K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
World

Iran nuclear test before 2027?

5%
$258.5K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
World

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

100%
$258.4K Vol.•Ends Sep 30, 2026
World

Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?

1%
$254.0K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Geopolitics

US x Cuba military clash in 2026?

14%
$249.9K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

December 3160%
September 3014%
2 more
$246.2K Vol.•Jan 1, 2027
World

Ukraine election held by...?

3%
$234.3K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
World

Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?

12%
$231.2K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
World

Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?

3%
$219.2K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
World

Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

5%
$212.9K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
World

EU dissolves before 2027?

1%
$180.7K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
World

U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

3%
$179.6K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Benjamin Netanyahu31%
Naftali Bennett9%
17 more
$175.0K Vol.•Dec 31, 2026
World

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

4%
$172.0K Vol.•Ends Dec 31, 2026
World

US takes Panama Canal before 2027?

3%
$168.1K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
World

Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?

87%
$168.0K Vol.•Ends Dec 31, 2026
World

Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?

4%
$166.5K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
World

Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?

8%
$163.4K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by...?

SSeptember 302%
DDecember 3121%
$159.6K Vol.•Jan 1, 2027
World

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

5%
$159.4K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
World

Will US annex any territory in 2026?

6%
$157.0K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
World

NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?

6%
$153.7K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will Russia capture Havrylivka by...?

September 302%
December 315%
$153.2K Vol.•Jan 1, 2027
World

Ukraine coup attempt by...?

6%
$152.0K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

September 304%
December 3121%
2 more
$150.2K Vol.•Jan 1, 2027
World

Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?

2%
$149.5K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

September 3093%
October 3181%
2 more
$144.5K Vol.•Dec 31, 2026
World

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

1%
$143.0K Vol.•Ends Sep 30, 2026
Geopolitics

Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?

7%
$141.3K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
World

Maduro guilty of all counts?

21%
$133.1K Vol.•Ends Dec 31, 2027
World

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

4%
$128.1K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
World

Will Russia capture Sloviansk by...?

3%
$127.6K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by...?

SSeptember 3070%
SSeptember 2237%
1 more
$124.6K Vol.•Oct 1, 2026
World

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

3%
$123.2K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
World

Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?

5%
$116.1K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
World

Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?

8%
$114.8K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
World

UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?

4%
$113.9K Vol.•Ends Dec 31, 2026